Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 3.349092 3.916114 4.519500 5.206261 5.963121 6.768751 7.688054
2024-10-20 2.537238 3.316706 4.208013 5.289188 6.551740 7.966561 9.658673
2024-10-27 1.895004 2.767520 3.836673 5.210964 6.898384 8.871786 11.322303
2024-11-03 1.521441 2.461921 3.688040 5.343918 7.462193 10.024306 13.298682
2024-11-10 1.225539 2.194358 3.534618 5.428351 7.940161 11.067176 15.160747
2024-11-17 0.940319 1.881091 3.267080 5.317365 8.135040 11.740740 16.568162
2024-11-24 0.713844 1.605945 3.007600 5.176195 8.258127 12.303316 17.830119
2024-12-01 0.560650 1.414808 2.840914 5.138672 8.501595 13.012538 19.281782
2024-12-08 0.433801 1.238334 2.668757 5.068166 8.680847 13.627257 20.611659
2024-12-15 0.380603 1.191450 2.700212 5.303193 9.298856 14.845354 22.759741
2024-12-22 0.308071 1.084517 2.612575 5.338733 9.618928 15.655045 24.371545
2024-12-29 0.279178 1.068545 2.683357 5.629756 10.324833 17.014269 26.748611
2025-01-05 0.242915 1.027769 2.707384 5.851154 10.944322 18.283546 29.053586
2025-01-12 0.199452 0.954788 2.660286 5.947840 11.374753 19.294598 31.025574
2025-01-19 0.149279 0.842333 2.517746 5.866100 11.519246 19.893906 32.434907
2025-01-26 0.124298 0.796657 2.506206 6.012116 12.025313 21.026141 34.606093
2025-02-02 0.100325 0.742804 2.468355 6.104585 12.443884 22.034025 36.613564
2025-02-09 0.070732 0.648369 2.323236 5.984411 12.506237 22.509934 37.868462
2025-02-16 0.047169 0.557777 2.169188 5.831161 12.501486 22.878268 38.968514
2025-02-23 0.032912 0.497389 2.077844 5.790448 12.679906 23.522638 40.471986
2025-03-02 0.021501 0.437056 1.973942 5.713808 12.789654 24.059487 41.822616
2025-03-09 0.018624 0.434610 2.029704 5.969342 13.483354 25.509981 44.530085
2025-03-16 0.012955 0.399169 1.984349 6.007966 13.794994 26.369361 46.376527